Here’s my prediction for the elimination order for American Idol 11. I’m not going to crowdsource this season — I’m using my own brain! I’ve listed the contestants in order of how I think they will finish, followed by a range of positions I think they can get eliminated in.
I’m always wrong, so if this list looks to good to be true, it probably is.
13. Jeremy Rosado
Jeremy gave a touching Wild Card performance and seems like a nice guy. However, I don’t think he is talented enough to make the tour. He’ll have to cry every week to get voted through, and I don’t think he’ll be able to sustain his tears for three weeks. Range: 13-11.
12. Erika Van Pelt
Erika had the best Wild Card performance but the other girls are more popular than her or are more favored by the producers (ex: Shannon Magrane). She’s a bit of a clone of Elise Testone, and Elise already got the pimp spot so the best Erika can hope for is 11. Range: 12-11.
11. Jermaine Jones
Jermaine was voted in by the viewers but right now he seems to be a novelty act – even if Jimmy Iovine said he would listen to an entire album of Jermaine’s voice. (Really? I didn’t know Jimmy was such a masochist.) I think that Jermaine might be able to give a memorable performance that might earn him a place on the tour, but that would be at the expense of Deandre Brackensick or Joshua Ledet both of whom I think will be able to produce stand out performances of their own in the next three weeks. Range: 13-9.
Poor Deandre. He had to sing in the Wild Card which I think hurt his ego. Hopefully he’ll be able to bounce back, but there is a lot of indication that he is not ready for primetime and he’s going to make a lot of mistakes in the coming weeks. I think his signature hair and falsetto will earn him a spot on the tour, barely. Range: 11-8.
Shannon will most likely be in the bottom 3 for a couple of weeks, but she’ll make the tour. She’s the Katie Stevens of the season — the one the show hopes will do well (for the sake of tween girls everywhere) but ultimately will fail. Range: 10-8.
8. Heejun Han
Heejun deserves to go on tour. He single-handedly saved American Idol ratings during Hollywood Week even if his singing is not stellar. I predict the way the show will handle Heejun will be very messy. We might see some really bad jokes that people will complain about that will hasten Heejun’s exit. Range: 9-7.
7. Joshua Ledet
Joshua has a leg up (or is it two legs up?) on Deandre for the crown of male black diva on the show. He won’t get criticized until most of the fodder are gone, and then he’s outta here. Range: 8-4.
6. Skylar Laine
Skylar won’t come into danger of elimination until about top 7 or so. Her main problem at least at the moment of this writing is that Hollie and Jessica are far more popular than her. She’s also not the type of country singer that a general audience might be attracted to. Range: 8-4.
5. Colton Dixon
The Adam Lambert of the season without Adam’s vocals or unrestrained sex appeal. He’ll coast along and then it’s over. Range: 8-4.
I’ve placed Elise high on the list because she was given the pimp spot over Jessica on the first day. This shows how much confidence the show has in her. There’s a possibility that she might get an Alexis Grace elimination (in place of Erika), but she’s too popular now for that to happen (I hope). Range: 6-3.
She’s the one to beat! And she will be beaten. I think that she’ll be rewarded with a homecoming in San Diego in a few weeks for her powerhouse vocals but winning is not in the cards for her in my opinion. The Southern states still control the votes on American Idol and even moreso this season with the decline of urban viewers. Range: 4-2.
In one week of voting, Hollie is popular without the benefit of pimping. It can only get better for Hollie week after week. Range: 3-2.
Obviously he’s going to win. I really do like Phillip and would be very happy when he is crowned the winner in a few weeks. Range: 1.
Feel free to debate this list in the comments.